House prices in Ontario are at some of their lowest points right now, so it makes sense to buy sooner rather than wait. Any small further drops will likely be wiped out by rising mortgage rates, according to expert forecasts from banks and economists. Waiting could cost you more in the long run.
Why Prices Are Low and Stable Now
Prices have fallen across Ontario and are holding steady near the bottom. For example, the average home price in February 2026 was $802,601, down about 5% from last year. There are more homes for sale than in years, over 49,000 listed, the most in a decade. Sales are slower too, down 8%, which means sellers are open to good offers. This buyer-friendly setup won't last forever as the economy improves.nesto
Why Mortgage Rates Matter More
Bank of Canada rates sit at 2.25% today, keeping mortgage rates around 4% for a five-year fixed term. But forecasters like Scotiabank see rates climbing to 2.75% or higher by late 2026 due to inflation and growth. On an $800,000 house, just a 0.5% jump adds over $200 to your monthly payment. That's thousands extra per year, far bigger than any minor price dip of 1-2%.
The Hidden Cost of Waiting
Rent keeps going up, averaging $2,243 a month in Ontario, while you build no equity in your own home. Right now, you can lock in low rates and negotiate better deals with so many choices. Past trends show prices rebound once rates stabilize and buyers return, those who wait often pay more overall.
Simple Steps to Get Started
Review listings in your area for the best value. Compare recent sales to spot opportunities.
Give me a call to discuss your finances capabilities. With my expert mortgage teammate, get to know your house hunting budget with best rates, and we can compare recent sales in your desired area to find the best home for you.

